Population Growth Formula
Calculate exponential population growth using the continuous growth model.
Used in ecology, demographics, and microbiology.
The Formula
The exponential growth model predicts population size over time when resources are unlimited. It assumes a constant growth rate with no environmental constraints.
Variables
| Symbol | Meaning |
|---|---|
| N(t) | Population at time t |
| N₀ | Initial population size |
| r | Growth rate (per unit time) |
| t | Time elapsed |
| e | Euler's number (approximately 2.71828) |
Example 1
A population of 1,000 rabbits grows at 5% per year. Find the population after 10 years.
N₀ = 1,000, r = 0.05, t = 10
N(10) = 1,000 × e^(0.05 × 10) = 1,000 × e^0.5
N(10) = 1,000 × 1.6487 ≈ 1,649 rabbits
Example 2
A bacterial culture of 500 cells grows at a rate of 0.3 per hour. Find the count after 8 hours.
N₀ = 500, r = 0.3, t = 8
N(8) = 500 × e^(0.3 × 8) = 500 × e^2.4
N(8) = 500 × 11.023 ≈ 5,512 cells
When to Use It
Use the population growth formula when:
- Modeling population growth in ecology or demographics
- Predicting bacterial or viral spread in early stages
- Estimating future population size with a known growth rate
- Resources are abundant and environmental limits have not been reached
Key Notes
- Exponential growth only applies when resources are unlimited — in reality, every real population eventually follows logistic growth and levels off at the carrying capacity K; the exponential formula is most useful for early-stage or short-term predictions
- Doubling time: t_d = ln(2) / r ≈ 0.693 / r — a population growing at r = 0.1/year doubles in ≈ 6.9 years; this is the biological equivalent of the financial "Rule of 72" and is a quick sanity check on growth rate estimates
- Negative r models population decline: when mortality exceeds birth rate, N(t) = N₀ × e^(rt) with r < 0 gives exponential decay; the same formula applies to endangered species, radioactive decay, and cooling rates
- Continuous (e^rt) vs discrete ((1+r)ᵗ) growth: for large r or short intervals they diverge noticeably; the continuous model is used in ecology and microbiology, while the discrete form is common in finance (annual compounding)